Burnley vs Wolverhampton Wanderers prediction
Friday 16 October 2026, 20:00, Turf Moor
Full time: 1-2
Our prediction
The model gives Burnley a 38% chance of winning, 27% for a draw and 34% for Wolverhampton Wanderers. Expected goals: Burnley 1.4, Wolverhampton Wanderers 1.4. Most likely score: 1-1.
BUR38%Draw27%WOL34%
Predictions by market
Match result (1X2)Home38%✗Fair odds 2.60Double chanceEither team73%✓Fair odds 1.37Over/Under 2.5 goalsOver 2.553%✓Fair odds 1.89Over/Under 1.5 goalsOver 1.578%✓Fair odds 1.29Both teams to scoreYes58%✓Fair odds 1.74Correct score1-113%✗Fair odds 7.76Draw no betHome53%✗Fair odds 1.89Asian handicapAway +0.562%✓Fair odds 1.63Odd/Even goalsEven52%✗Fair odds 1.92First team to scoreHome48%✓Fair odds 2.08Win to nilHome19%✗Fair odds 5.31
Goals
| Over 1.5 goals | 78% |
|---|---|
| Over 2.5 goals | 53% |
| Over 3.5 goals | 31% |
| Both teams score | 58% |
Most likely scores
- 1-112.9%
- 2-18.6%
- 1-28.1%
- 1-07.9%
- 0-17.3%
Recent form
Burnley
- DBurnley 2-2 Charlton Athletic
- WWatford 0-4 Burnley
- DBurnley 1-1 Derby County
- LSwansea City 3-1 Burnley
- DWrexham 1-1 Burnley
Wolverhampton Wanderers
- LWolverhampton Wanderers 1-3 Bolton Wanderers
- LMiddlesbrough 1-0 Wolverhampton Wanderers
- WWolverhampton Wanderers 1-0 West Bromwich Albion
- WSheffield United 0-1 Wolverhampton Wanderers
- DBirmingham City 2-2 Wolverhampton Wanderers
Head to head
- DBurnley 1-1 Wolverhampton Wanderers
- WWolverhampton Wanderers 2-3 Burnley
How this prediction was made
This is a statistical forecast, not a guarantee. It comes from a goals model fitted on 7,081 recent results across Europe's top leagues, weighting recent matches more heavily. Picks freeze at kick-off and are graded in our public track record. Read the full methodology.