Cardiff City vs Birmingham City prediction
Saturday 24 October 2026, 15:00, Cardiff City Stadium
Full time: 1-0
Our prediction
The model gives Cardiff City a 38% chance of winning, 26% for a draw and 36% for Birmingham City. Expected goals: Cardiff City 1.5, Birmingham City 1.5. Most likely score: 1-1.
CAR38%Draw26%BIR36%
Predictions by market
Match result (1X2)Home38%✓Fair odds 2.65Double chanceEither team74%✓Fair odds 1.36Over/Under 2.5 goalsOver 2.557%✗Fair odds 1.76Over/Under 1.5 goalsOver 1.581%✗Fair odds 1.24Both teams to scoreYes61%✗Fair odds 1.65Correct score1-112%✗Fair odds 8.18Draw no betHome51%✓Fair odds 1.96Asian handicapAway +0.562%✗Fair odds 1.60Odd/Even goalsEven52%✗Fair odds 1.93First team to scoreHome48%✓Fair odds 2.10Win to nilHome17%✓Fair odds 5.87
Goals
| Over 1.5 goals | 81% |
|---|---|
| Over 2.5 goals | 57% |
| Over 3.5 goals | 35% |
| Both teams score | 61% |
Most likely scores
- 1-112.2%
- 2-18.5%
- 1-28.3%
- 1-06.8%
- 0-16.6%
Recent form
Cardiff City
- DMiddlesbrough 2-2 Cardiff City
- WCardiff City 5-1 Watford
- LBlackburn Rovers 2-1 Cardiff City
- WCardiff City 3-1 Charlton Athletic
- LBolton Wanderers 1-0 Cardiff City
Birmingham City
- WBirmingham City 3-0 Queens Park Rangers
- WBirmingham City 4-0 Preston North End
- WWest Bromwich Albion 0-1 Birmingham City
- DBirmingham City 2-2 Middlesbrough
- WDerby County 1-2 Birmingham City
How this prediction was made
This is a statistical forecast, not a guarantee. It comes from a goals model fitted on 7,122 recent results across Europe's top leagues, weighting recent matches more heavily. Picks freeze at kick-off and are graded in our public track record. Read the full methodology.