Cardiff City vs Stoke City prediction
Tuesday 8 September 2026, 19:45, Cardiff City Stadium
Full time: 1-1
Our prediction
The model gives Cardiff City a 42% chance of winning, 27% for a draw and 31% for Stoke City. Expected goals: Cardiff City 1.5, Stoke City 1.3. Most likely score: 1-1.
CAR42%Draw27%STK31%
Predictions by market
Match result (1X2)Home42%✗Fair odds 2.38Double chanceEither team73%✗Fair odds 1.37Over/Under 2.5 goalsOver 2.552%✗Fair odds 1.92Over/Under 1.5 goalsOver 1.577%✓Fair odds 1.30Both teams to scoreYes57%✓Fair odds 1.77Correct score1-113%✓Fair odds 7.73Draw no betHome58%Fair odds 1.73Asian handicapAway +0.558%✓Fair odds 1.73Odd/Even goalsEven52%✓Fair odds 1.92First team to scoreHome51%✗Fair odds 1.98Win to nilHome21%✗Fair odds 4.70
Goals
| Over 1.5 goals | 77% |
|---|---|
| Over 2.5 goals | 52% |
| Over 3.5 goals | 30% |
| Both teams score | 57% |
Most likely scores
- 1-112.9%
- 2-19%
- 1-08.6%
- 1-27.5%
- 0-07.3%
Recent form
Cardiff City
- LPortsmouth 2-0 Cardiff City
- LQueens Park Rangers 2-1 Cardiff City
- DCardiff City 2-2 Sheffield United
- DDerby County 2-2 Cardiff City
- DCardiff City 1-1 Wrexham
Stoke City
- WStoke City 4-0 Charlton Athletic
- WStoke City 1-0 Norwich City
- LWolverhampton Wanderers 4-1 Stoke City
- LSouthampton 3-1 Stoke City
- LStoke City 1-2 Swansea City
How this prediction was made
This is a statistical forecast, not a guarantee. It comes from a goals model fitted on 7,122 recent results across Europe's top leagues, weighting recent matches more heavily. Picks freeze at kick-off and are graded in our public track record. Read the full methodology.