Chicago Fire FC vs New York City FC prediction
Saturday 10 October 2026, 19:30, Soldier Field
Full time: 2-1
Our prediction
The model gives Chicago Fire FC a 45% chance of winning, 26% for a draw and 29% for New York City FC. Expected goals: Chicago Fire FC 1.6, New York City FC 1.3. Most likely score: 1-1.
CHI45%Draw26%NYC29%
Predictions by market
Match result (1X2)Home45%✓Fair odds 2.24Double chanceEither team74%✓Fair odds 1.36Over/Under 2.5 goalsOver 2.554%✓Fair odds 1.84Over/Under 1.5 goalsOver 1.579%✓Fair odds 1.27Both teams to scoreYes58%✓Fair odds 1.73Correct score1-112%✗Fair odds 8.01Draw no betHome61%✓Fair odds 1.65Asian handicapAway +0.555%✗Fair odds 1.80Odd/Even goalsEven52%✗Fair odds 1.92First team to scoreHome52%✗Fair odds 1.91Win to nilHome22%✗Fair odds 4.57
Goals
| Over 1.5 goals | 79% |
|---|---|
| Over 2.5 goals | 54% |
| Over 3.5 goals | 32% |
| Both teams score | 58% |
Most likely scores
- 1-112.5%
- 2-19.3%
- 1-08.3%
- 2-07.4%
- 1-27.2%
Recent form
Chicago Fire FC
- WChicago Fire FC 3-1 Vancouver Whitecaps
- WCharlotte FC 0-1 Chicago Fire FC
- LNashville SC 3-0 Chicago Fire FC
- LChicago Fire FC 1-2 New England Revolution
- DChicago Fire FC 1-1 Inter Miami CF
New York City FC
- DAtlanta United FC 2-2 New York City FC
- LNew York City FC 0-1 Red Bull New York
- WReal Salt Lake 0-2 New York City FC
- LNew York City FC 1-2 New England Revolution
- DNew York City FC 0-0 Nashville SC
Head to head
- LNew York City FC 3-1 Chicago Fire FC
- LChicago Fire FC 1-3 New York City FC
How this prediction was made
This is a statistical forecast, not a guarantee. It comes from a goals model fitted on 7,081 recent results across Europe's top leagues, weighting recent matches more heavily. Picks freeze at kick-off and are graded in our public track record. Read the full methodology.