Chicago Fire FC vs Philadelphia Union prediction
Thursday 15 October 2026, 01:30, Soldier Field
Full time: 1-3
Our prediction
The model gives Chicago Fire FC a 44% chance of winning, 23% for a draw and 33% for Philadelphia Union. Expected goals: Chicago Fire FC 1.9, Philadelphia Union 1.6. Most likely score: 1-1.
CHI44%Draw23%PHI33%
Predictions by market
Match result (1X2)Home44%✗Fair odds 2.27Double chanceEither team77%✓Fair odds 1.30Over/Under 2.5 goalsOver 2.569%✓Fair odds 1.45Over/Under 1.5 goalsOver 1.588%✓Fair odds 1.14Both teams to scoreYes70%✓Fair odds 1.44Correct score1-110%✗Fair odds 10.38Draw no betHome57%✗Fair odds 1.75Asian handicapAway +0.556%✓Fair odds 1.78Odd/Even goalsEven51%✓Fair odds 1.94First team to scoreHome52%✓Fair odds 1.92Win to nilHome16%✗Fair odds 6.36
Goals
| Over 1.5 goals | 88% |
|---|---|
| Over 2.5 goals | 69% |
| Over 3.5 goals | 48% |
| Both teams score | 70% |
Most likely scores
- 1-19.6%
- 2-18.6%
- 1-27.3%
- 2-27.1%
- 3-15.5%
Recent form
Chicago Fire FC
- WChicago Fire FC 2-1 New York City FC
- WChicago Fire FC 3-1 Vancouver Whitecaps
- WCharlotte FC 0-1 Chicago Fire FC
- LNashville SC 3-0 Chicago Fire FC
- LChicago Fire FC 1-2 New England Revolution
Philadelphia Union
- WPhiladelphia Union 2-1 Real Salt Lake
- WPhiladelphia Union 4-2 Orlando City SC
- WSporting Kansas City 3-4 Philadelphia Union
- WSan Diego FC 0-5 Philadelphia Union
- WPhiladelphia Union 5-0 FC Cincinnati
Head to head
- WPhiladelphia Union 1-2 Chicago Fire FC
- LChicago Fire FC 0-3 Philadelphia Union
How this prediction was made
This is a statistical forecast, not a guarantee. It comes from a goals model fitted on 7,122 recent results across Europe's top leagues, weighting recent matches more heavily. Picks freeze at kick-off and are graded in our public track record. Read the full methodology.