Defensa y Justicia vs San Lorenzo prediction

Saturday 3 October 2026, 18:45, Norberto Tomaghello

Full time: 3-0

Our prediction

The model gives Defensa y Justicia a 42% chance of winning, 33% for a draw and 25% for San Lorenzo. Expected goals: Defensa y Justicia 1.1, San Lorenzo 0.8. Most likely score: 0-0.

Predictions by market

Goals

Over 1.5 goals58%
Over 2.5 goals30%
Over 3.5 goals13%
Both teams score38%

Most likely scores

  • 0-015.9%
  • 1-015.5%
  • 1-114.2%
  • 0-110.7%
  • 2-09.2%

Recent form

Defensa y Justicia

  • DCentral Córdoba (Santiago del Estero) 2-2 Defensa y Justicia
  • WDefensa y Justicia 2-0 Gimnasia (Mendoza)
  • LLanús 1-0 Defensa y Justicia
  • WDefensa y Justicia 1-0 Platense
  • WBelgrano (Córdoba) 1-2 Defensa y Justicia

San Lorenzo

  • LSan Lorenzo 0-2 Boca Juniors
  • DIndependiente 1-1 San Lorenzo
  • WSan Lorenzo 1-0 Talleres (Córdoba)
  • LInstituto (Córdoba) 1-0 San Lorenzo
  • DEstudiantes de Río Cuarto 0-0 San Lorenzo

Head to head

  • WSan Lorenzo 2-5 Defensa y Justicia

How this prediction was made

This is a statistical forecast, not a guarantee. It comes from a goals model fitted on 7,081 recent results across Europe's top leagues, weighting recent matches more heavily. Picks freeze at kick-off and are graded in our public track record. Read the full methodology.

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