Derby County vs West Bromwich Albion prediction
Wednesday 9 September 2026, 19:45, Pride Park
Full time: 0-1
Our prediction
The model gives Derby County a 44% chance of winning, 28% for a draw and 27% for West Bromwich Albion. Expected goals: Derby County 1.4, West Bromwich Albion 1.1. Most likely score: 1-1.
DER44%Draw28%WBA27%
Predictions by market
Match result (1X2)Home44%✗Fair odds 2.26Double chanceHome or draw73%✗Fair odds 1.38Over/Under 2.5 goalsUnder 2.554%✓Fair odds 1.85Over/Under 1.5 goalsOver 1.573%✗Fair odds 1.38Both teams to scoreYes51%✗Fair odds 1.95Correct score1-114%✗Fair odds 7.40Draw no betHome62%✗Fair odds 1.62Asian handicapAway +0.556%✓Fair odds 1.80Odd/Even goalsEven52%✗Fair odds 1.91First team to scoreHome52%✗Fair odds 1.92Win to nilHome25%✗Fair odds 4.01
Goals
| Over 1.5 goals | 73% |
|---|---|
| Over 2.5 goals | 46% |
| Over 3.5 goals | 25% |
| Both teams score | 51% |
Most likely scores
- 1-113.5%
- 1-010.6%
- 0-09.1%
- 2-19%
- 2-08.4%
Recent form
Derby County
- LWest Ham United 3-0 Derby County
- WPortsmouth 0-2 Derby County
- LDerby County 0-3 Swansea City
- DDerby County 2-2 Cardiff City
- LCharlton Athletic 2-1 Derby County
West Bromwich Albion
- WWest Bromwich Albion 1-0 Watford
- DWest Bromwich Albion 1-1 Charlton Athletic
- LMiddlesbrough 3-1 West Bromwich Albion
- WWest Bromwich Albion 3-1 Burnley
- WNorwich City 1-2 West Bromwich Albion
Head to head
- DDerby County 1-1 West Bromwich Albion
- WWest Bromwich Albion 0-1 Derby County
How this prediction was made
This is a statistical forecast, not a guarantee. It comes from a goals model fitted on 7,122 recent results across Europe's top leagues, weighting recent matches more heavily. Picks freeze at kick-off and are graded in our public track record. Read the full methodology.