Gimnasia La Plata vs Sarmiento (Junín) prediction
Friday 23 October 2026, 22:00, Juan Carmelo Zerillo (El Bosque)
Full time: 2-0
Our prediction
The model gives Gimnasia La Plata a 48% chance of winning, 26% for a draw and 27% for Sarmiento (Junín). Expected goals: Gimnasia La Plata 1.7, Sarmiento (Junín) 1.2. Most likely score: 1-1.
GLP48%Draw26%SARM27%
Predictions by market
Match result (1X2)Home48%✓Fair odds 2.10Double chanceEither team74%✓Fair odds 1.34Over/Under 2.5 goalsOver 2.556%✗Fair odds 1.78Over/Under 1.5 goalsOver 1.580%✓Fair odds 1.25Both teams to scoreYes59%✗Fair odds 1.70Correct score1-112%✗Fair odds 8.32Draw no betHome64%✓Fair odds 1.56Asian handicapAway +1.574%✗Fair odds 1.35Odd/Even goalsEven52%✓Fair odds 1.93First team to scoreHome55%✓Fair odds 1.83Win to nilHome23%✓Fair odds 4.35
Goals
| Over 1.5 goals | 80% |
|---|---|
| Over 2.5 goals | 56% |
| Over 3.5 goals | 34% |
| Both teams score | 59% |
Most likely scores
- 1-112%
- 2-19.5%
- 1-08.2%
- 2-07.7%
- 1-26.9%
Recent form
Gimnasia La Plata
- WHuracán 1-2 Gimnasia La Plata
- DGimnasia La Plata 1-1 Atlético Tucumán
- DIndependiente Rivadavia 1-1 Gimnasia La Plata
- DGimnasia La Plata 2-2 Banfield
- DArgentinos Juniors 1-1 Gimnasia La Plata
Sarmiento (Junín)
- DSarmiento (Junín) 1-1 Barracas Central
- DSarmiento (Junín) 1-1 River Plate
- WAldosivi 1-3 Sarmiento (Junín)
- LRacing Club 3-1 Sarmiento (Junín)
- DSarmiento (Junín) 1-1 Belgrano (Córdoba)
Head to head
- WSarmiento (Junín) 1-2 Gimnasia La Plata
- WSarmiento (Junín) 0-1 Gimnasia La Plata
How this prediction was made
This is a statistical forecast, not a guarantee. It comes from a goals model fitted on 7,081 recent results across Europe's top leagues, weighting recent matches more heavily. Picks freeze at kick-off and are graded in our public track record. Read the full methodology.