Guadalajara vs Necaxa prediction
Wednesday 21 October 2026, 01:07, Estadio Akron
Full time: 1-0
Our prediction
The model gives Guadalajara a 69% chance of winning, 19% for a draw and 12% for Necaxa. Expected goals: Guadalajara 2.3, Necaxa 0.9. Most likely score: 2-0.
GDL69%Draw19%NCX12%
Predictions by market
Match result (1X2)Home69%✓Fair odds 1.45Double chanceHome or draw88%✓Fair odds 1.14Over/Under 2.5 goalsOver 2.563%✗Fair odds 1.59Over/Under 1.5 goalsOver 1.584%✗Fair odds 1.19Both teams to scoreYes54%✗Fair odds 1.85Correct score2-011%✗Fair odds 9.30Draw no betHome85%✓Fair odds 1.17Asian handicapHome -0.569%✓Fair odds 1.45Odd/Even goalsEven51%✗Fair odds 1.95First team to scoreHome69%✓Fair odds 1.45Win to nilHome36%✓Fair odds 2.76
Goals
| Over 1.5 goals | 84% |
|---|---|
| Over 2.5 goals | 63% |
| Over 3.5 goals | 41% |
| Both teams score | 54% |
Most likely scores
- 2-010.8%
- 2-19.6%
- 1-18.9%
- 1-08.5%
- 3-08.4%
Recent form
Guadalajara
- DGuadalajara 1-1 Tigres UANL
- DAtlas 1-1 Guadalajara
- LGuadalajara 0-2 Querétaro
- DAmérica 2-2 Guadalajara
- WGuadalajara 3-0 Pumas UNAM
Necaxa
- LNecaxa 0-2 Atlas
- DPachuca 3-3 Necaxa
- LNecaxa 2-4 América
- LAtlético de San Luis 3-1 Necaxa
- LNecaxa 0-1 Puebla
Head to head
- DNecaxa 0-0 Guadalajara
- WGuadalajara 3-1 Necaxa
How this prediction was made
This is a statistical forecast, not a guarantee. It comes from a goals model fitted on 7,081 recent results across Europe's top leagues, weighting recent matches more heavily. Picks freeze at kick-off and are graded in our public track record. Read the full methodology.