Hamburg SV vs FC Cologne prediction
Saturday 19 September 2026, 14:30, Volksparkstadion
Full time: 2-1
Our prediction
The model gives Hamburg SV a 38% chance of winning, 26% for a draw and 36% for FC Cologne. Expected goals: Hamburg SV 1.5, FC Cologne 1.5. Most likely score: 1-1.
HSV38%Draw26%KOE36%
Predictions by market
Match result (1X2)Home38%✓Fair odds 2.62Double chanceEither team74%✓Fair odds 1.36Over/Under 2.5 goalsOver 2.557%✓Fair odds 1.75Over/Under 1.5 goalsOver 1.581%✓Fair odds 1.24Both teams to scoreYes61%✓Fair odds 1.64Correct score1-112%✗Fair odds 8.20Draw no betHome52%✓Fair odds 1.93Asian handicapAway +0.562%✗Fair odds 1.62Odd/Even goalsEven52%✗Fair odds 1.93First team to scoreHome48%✓Fair odds 2.09Win to nilHome17%✗Fair odds 5.80
Goals
| Over 1.5 goals | 81% |
|---|---|
| Over 2.5 goals | 57% |
| Over 3.5 goals | 35% |
| Both teams score | 61% |
Most likely scores
- 1-112.2%
- 2-18.6%
- 1-28.2%
- 1-06.8%
- 0-16.5%
Recent form
Hamburg SV
- LRB Leipzig 5-0 Hamburg SV
- LHamburg SV 0-5 Mainz
- LBorussia Dortmund 2-0 Hamburg SV
- DBayer Leverkusen 1-1 Hamburg SV
- WHamburg SV 3-2 SC Freiburg
FC Cologne
- DFC Cologne 1-1 Werder Bremen
- LVfB Stuttgart 4-1 FC Cologne
- WFC Cologne 3-2 TSG Hoffenheim
- LBayern Munich 5-1 FC Cologne
- LFC Cologne 1-3 1. FC Heidenheim 1846
Head to head
- DHamburg SV 1-1 FC Cologne
- LFC Cologne 4-1 Hamburg SV
How this prediction was made
This is a statistical forecast, not a guarantee. It comes from a goals model fitted on 7,081 recent results across Europe's top leagues, weighting recent matches more heavily. Picks freeze at kick-off and are graded in our public track record. Read the full methodology.