Hamburg SV vs Mainz prediction
Sunday 6 September 2026, 14:30, Volksparkstadion
Full time: 0-5
Our prediction
The model gives Hamburg SV a 38% chance of winning, 29% for a draw and 33% for Mainz. Expected goals: Hamburg SV 1.3, Mainz 1.2. Most likely score: 1-1.
HSV38%Draw29%M0533%
Predictions by market
Match result (1X2)Home38%✗Fair odds 2.64Double chanceEither team71%✓Fair odds 1.42Over/Under 2.5 goalsUnder 2.556%✗Fair odds 1.80Over/Under 1.5 goalsOver 1.571%✓Fair odds 1.40Both teams to scoreYes51%✗Fair odds 1.97Correct score1-114%✗Fair odds 7.16Draw no betHome54%✗Fair odds 1.87Asian handicapAway +0.562%✓Fair odds 1.61Odd/Even goalsEven52%✗Fair odds 1.91First team to scoreHome47%✗Fair odds 2.12Win to nilHome21%✗Fair odds 4.70
Goals
| Over 1.5 goals | 71% |
|---|---|
| Over 2.5 goals | 44% |
| Over 3.5 goals | 23% |
| Both teams score | 51% |
Most likely scores
- 1-114%
- 1-010%
- 0-09.7%
- 0-19.1%
- 2-18.3%
Recent form
Hamburg SV
- LBorussia Dortmund 2-0 Hamburg SV
- DBayer Leverkusen 1-1 Hamburg SV
- WHamburg SV 3-2 SC Freiburg
- WEintracht Frankfurt 1-2 Hamburg SV
- LHamburg SV 1-2 TSG Hoffenheim
Mainz
- DMainz 0-0 SC Paderborn 07
- W1. FC Heidenheim 1846 0-2 Mainz
- LMainz 1-3 1. FC Union Berlin
- WSt. Pauli 1-2 Mainz
- LMainz 3-4 Bayern Munich
Head to head
- DMainz 1-1 Hamburg SV
- WHamburg SV 4-0 Mainz
How this prediction was made
This is a statistical forecast, not a guarantee. It comes from a goals model fitted on 7,122 recent results across Europe's top leagues, weighting recent matches more heavily. Picks freeze at kick-off and are graded in our public track record. Read the full methodology.