Hamburg SV vs VfB Stuttgart prediction
Saturday 17 October 2026, 14:30, Volksparkstadion
Full time: 1-0
Our prediction
The model gives Hamburg SV a 23% chance of winning, 23% for a draw and 54% for VfB Stuttgart. Expected goals: Hamburg SV 1.2, VfB Stuttgart 2.0. Most likely score: 1-1.
HSV23%Draw23%VFB54%
Predictions by market
Match result (1X2)Away54%✗Fair odds 1.85Double chanceAway or draw77%✗Fair odds 1.29Over/Under 2.5 goalsOver 2.562%✗Fair odds 1.61Over/Under 1.5 goalsOver 1.584%✗Fair odds 1.20Both teams to scoreYes62%✗Fair odds 1.62Correct score1-111%✗Fair odds 9.40Draw no betAway71%✗Fair odds 1.42Asian handicapHome +1.568%✓Fair odds 1.48Odd/Even goalsEven52%✗Fair odds 1.94First team to scoreAway59%✗Fair odds 1.70Win to nilAway25%✗Fair odds 4.07
Goals
| Over 1.5 goals | 84% |
|---|---|
| Over 2.5 goals | 62% |
| Over 3.5 goals | 40% |
| Both teams score | 62% |
Most likely scores
- 1-110.6%
- 1-29.7%
- 0-28%
- 0-17.3%
- 1-36.4%
Recent form
Hamburg SV
- WTSG Hoffenheim 2-3 Hamburg SV
- WHamburg SV 2-1 FC Cologne
- LRB Leipzig 5-0 Hamburg SV
- LHamburg SV 0-5 Mainz
- LBorussia Dortmund 2-0 Hamburg SV
VfB Stuttgart
- WSlovan Bratislava 0-3 VfB Stuttgart
- WSC Paderborn 07 0-2 VfB Stuttgart
- LVfB Stuttgart 0-1 Borussia Dortmund
- LTSG Hoffenheim 2-1 VfB Stuttgart
- WVfB Stuttgart 3-1 Viking FK
Head to head
- LVfB Stuttgart 4-0 Hamburg SV
- WHamburg SV 2-1 VfB Stuttgart
How this prediction was made
This is a statistical forecast, not a guarantee. It comes from a goals model fitted on 7,122 recent results across Europe's top leagues, weighting recent matches more heavily. Picks freeze at kick-off and are graded in our public track record. Read the full methodology.