Independiente vs Instituto (Córdoba) prediction
Friday 2 October 2026, 23:15, Estadio Libertadores de América
Full time: 1-4
Our prediction
The model gives Independiente a 40% chance of winning, 31% for a draw and 29% for Instituto (Córdoba). Expected goals: Independiente 1.2, Instituto (Córdoba) 1.0. Most likely score: 1-1.
IND40%Draw31%IACC29%
Predictions by market
Match result (1X2)Home40%✗Fair odds 2.53Double chanceHome or draw71%✗Fair odds 1.41Over/Under 2.5 goalsUnder 2.563%✗Fair odds 1.59Over/Under 1.5 goalsOver 1.565%✓Fair odds 1.54Both teams to scoreNo55%✗Fair odds 1.80Correct score1-114%✗Fair odds 6.95Draw no betHome58%✗Fair odds 1.74Asian handicapAway +0.560%✓Fair odds 1.66Odd/Even goalsEven53%✗Fair odds 1.89First team to scoreHome48%✗Fair odds 2.09Win to nilHome25%✗Fair odds 4.00
Goals
| Over 1.5 goals | 65% |
|---|---|
| Over 2.5 goals | 37% |
| Over 3.5 goals | 18% |
| Both teams score | 45% |
Most likely scores
- 1-114.4%
- 1-012.5%
- 0-012.5%
- 0-110.1%
- 2-08.1%
Recent form
Independiente
- WUnión (Santa Fe) 1-2 Independiente
- DIndependiente 1-1 San Lorenzo
- WCentral Córdoba (Santiago del Estero) 0-1 Independiente
- LIndependiente 0-3 Gimnasia (Mendoza)
- DIndependiente 0-0 Independiente Rivadavia
Instituto (Córdoba)
- WInstituto (Córdoba) 3-1 Talleres (Córdoba)
- WInstituto (Córdoba) 2-1 Estudiantes de Río Cuarto
- LUnión (Santa Fe) 3-2 Instituto (Córdoba)
- WInstituto (Córdoba) 1-0 San Lorenzo
- DAtlético Tucumán 0-0 Instituto (Córdoba)
Head to head
- LInstituto (Córdoba) 2-1 Independiente
How this prediction was made
This is a statistical forecast, not a guarantee. It comes from a goals model fitted on 7,081 recent results across Europe's top leagues, weighting recent matches more heavily. Picks freeze at kick-off and are graded in our public track record. Read the full methodology.