Independiente vs San Lorenzo prediction
Sunday 13 September 2026, 23:15, Estadio Libertadores de América
Full time: 1-1
Our prediction
The model gives Independiente a 44% chance of winning, 34% for a draw and 22% for San Lorenzo. Expected goals: Independiente 1.1, San Lorenzo 0.7. Most likely score: 0-0.
IND44%Draw34%SLO22%
Predictions by market
Match result (1X2)Home44%✗Fair odds 2.26Double chanceHome or draw78%✓Fair odds 1.28Over/Under 2.5 goalsUnder 2.574%✓Fair odds 1.36Over/Under 1.5 goalsOver 1.554%✓Fair odds 1.85Both teams to scoreNo66%✗Fair odds 1.51Correct score0-018%✗Fair odds 5.59Draw no betHome67%Fair odds 1.49Asian handicapAway +0.556%✓Fair odds 1.80Odd/Even goalsEven53%✓Fair odds 1.87First team to scoreHome51%✓Fair odds 1.97Win to nilHome33%✗Fair odds 3.06
Goals
| Over 1.5 goals | 54% |
|---|---|
| Over 2.5 goals | 26% |
| Over 3.5 goals | 11% |
| Both teams score | 34% |
Most likely scores
- 0-017.9%
- 1-017.5%
- 1-113.6%
- 0-110.5%
- 2-010.2%
Recent form
Independiente
- WCentral Córdoba (Santiago del Estero) 0-1 Independiente
- LIndependiente 0-3 Gimnasia (Mendoza)
- DIndependiente 0-0 Independiente Rivadavia
- WLanús 1-3 Independiente
- LIndependiente 0-1 Platense
San Lorenzo
- WSan Lorenzo 1-0 Talleres (Córdoba)
- LInstituto (Córdoba) 1-0 San Lorenzo
- DEstudiantes de Río Cuarto 0-0 San Lorenzo
- WSan Lorenzo 1-0 Unión (Santa Fe)
- LSan Lorenzo 0-2 Huracán
Head to head
- WSan Lorenzo 1-2 Independiente
- DIndependiente 1-1 San Lorenzo
How this prediction was made
This is a statistical forecast, not a guarantee. It comes from a goals model fitted on 7,122 recent results across Europe's top leagues, weighting recent matches more heavily. Picks freeze at kick-off and are graded in our public track record. Read the full methodology.