Jagiellonia Bialystok vs Ararat-Armenia prediction
Thursday 15 October 2026, 20:00, Stadion Miejski Bialystok
Full time: 3-1
Our prediction
The model gives Jagiellonia Bialystok a 55% chance of winning, 23% for a draw and 22% for Ararat-Armenia. Expected goals: Jagiellonia Bialystok 2.1, Ararat-Armenia 1.3. Most likely score: 1-1.
JAG55%Draw23%ARA22%
Predictions by market
Match result (1X2)Home55%✓Fair odds 1.81Double chanceHome or draw78%✓Fair odds 1.28Over/Under 2.5 goalsOver 2.564%✓Fair odds 1.56Over/Under 1.5 goalsOver 1.585%✓Fair odds 1.18Both teams to scoreYes63%✓Fair odds 1.59Correct score1-110%✗Fair odds 9.83Draw no betHome71%✓Fair odds 1.40Asian handicapHome -0.555%✓Fair odds 1.81Odd/Even goalsEven52%✓Fair odds 1.94First team to scoreHome59%✗Fair odds 1.68Win to nilHome24%✗Fair odds 4.13
Goals
| Over 1.5 goals | 85% |
|---|---|
| Over 2.5 goals | 64% |
| Over 3.5 goals | 42% |
| Both teams score | 63% |
Most likely scores
- 1-110.2%
- 2-19.7%
- 2-07.7%
- 1-06.8%
- 3-16.6%
Recent form
Jagiellonia Bialystok
- LOlympiacos 2-1 Jagiellonia Bialystok
Ararat-Armenia
- LArarat-Armenia 1-4 Sparta Prague
How this prediction was made
This is a statistical forecast, not a guarantee. It comes from a goals model fitted on 7,081 recent results across Europe's top leagues, weighting recent matches more heavily. Picks freeze at kick-off and are graded in our public track record. Read the full methodology.