Lanús vs Vélez Sarsfield prediction
Monday 12 October 2026, 20:00, Ciudad de Lanús
Full time: 2-0
Our prediction
The model gives Lanús a 40% chance of winning, 32% for a draw and 28% for Vélez Sarsfield. Expected goals: Lanús 1.2, Vélez Sarsfield 0.9. Most likely score: 1-1.
LAN40%Draw32%VEL28%
Predictions by market
Match result (1X2)Home40%✓Fair odds 2.49Double chanceHome or draw72%✓Fair odds 1.39Over/Under 2.5 goalsUnder 2.565%✓Fair odds 1.53Over/Under 1.5 goalsOver 1.563%✓Fair odds 1.59Both teams to scoreNo57%✓Fair odds 1.74Correct score1-114%✗Fair odds 6.95Draw no betHome59%✓Fair odds 1.69Asian handicapAway +0.560%✗Fair odds 1.67Odd/Even goalsEven53%✓Fair odds 1.89First team to scoreHome48%✓Fair odds 2.07Win to nilHome26%✓Fair odds 3.82
Goals
| Over 1.5 goals | 63% |
|---|---|
| Over 2.5 goals | 35% |
| Over 3.5 goals | 16% |
| Both teams score | 43% |
Most likely scores
- 1-114.4%
- 0-013.4%
- 1-013.3%
- 0-110.4%
- 2-08.4%
Recent form
Lanús
- DNewell's Old Boys 0-0 Lanús
- WLanús 2-1 Estudiantes de La Plata
- WDeportivo Riestra 0-3 Lanús
- WLanús 1-0 Defensa y Justicia
- LBoca Juniors 1-0 Lanús
Vélez Sarsfield
- DVélez Sarsfield 2-2 Platense
- WVélez Sarsfield 3-2 Tigre
- DNewell's Old Boys 1-1 Vélez Sarsfield
- WVélez Sarsfield 1-0 Estudiantes de La Plata
- DDeportivo Riestra 1-1 Vélez Sarsfield
Head to head
- WVélez Sarsfield 0-1 Lanús
How this prediction was made
This is a statistical forecast, not a guarantee. It comes from a goals model fitted on 7,122 recent results across Europe's top leagues, weighting recent matches more heavily. Picks freeze at kick-off and are graded in our public track record. Read the full methodology.