Lazio vs AC Milan prediction

Saturday 12 September 2026, 17:00, Olimpico

Full time: 2-2

Our prediction

The model gives Lazio a 32% chance of winning, 33% for a draw and 35% for AC Milan. Expected goals: Lazio 1.0, AC Milan 1.0. Most likely score: 0-0.

Predictions by market

Goals

Over 1.5 goals60%
Over 2.5 goals32%
Over 3.5 goals14%
Both teams score40%

Most likely scores

  • 0-015%
  • 1-114.6%
  • 0-113.1%
  • 1-012.2%
  • 0-27.2%

Recent form

Lazio

  • WUdinese 1-2 Lazio
  • WLazio 1-0 Genoa
  • WBologna 0-1 Lazio
  • WLazio 2-1 Pisa
  • LAS Roma 2-0 Lazio

AC Milan

  • DJuventus 1-1 AC Milan
  • WAC Milan 2-0 Venezia
  • WTorino 1-2 AC Milan
  • LAC Milan 1-2 Cagliari
  • WGenoa 1-2 AC Milan

Head to head

  • WLazio 1-0 AC Milan
  • LAC Milan 1-0 Lazio

How this prediction was made

This is a statistical forecast, not a guarantee. It comes from a goals model fitted on 7,122 recent results across Europe's top leagues, weighting recent matches more heavily. Picks freeze at kick-off and are graded in our public track record. Read the full methodology.

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