Le Mans vs Lens prediction

Sunday 13 September 2026, 16:15, Stade Marie-Marvingt

Full time: 2-2

Our prediction

The model gives Le Mans a 27% chance of winning, 23% for a draw and 49% for Lens. Expected goals: Le Mans 1.4, Lens 2.0. Most likely score: 1-1.

Predictions by market

Goals

Over 1.5 goals86%
Over 2.5 goals66%
Over 3.5 goals44%
Both teams score66%

Most likely scores

  • 1-110.2%
  • 1-29.3%
  • 2-16.7%
  • 2-26.6%
  • 0-26.4%

Recent form

Le Mans

  • DNice 1-1 Le Mans
  • LStade Rennais 3-2 Le Mans
  • DLe Mans 2-2 Brest

Lens

  • WSlavia Prague 2-3 Lens
  • LLens 0-1 Lorient
  • LStrasbourg 2-1 Lens
  • WLens 5-2 AJ Auxerre
  • WLyon 0-4 Lens

How this prediction was made

This is a statistical forecast, not a guarantee. It comes from a goals model fitted on 7,081 recent results across Europe's top leagues, weighting recent matches more heavily. Picks freeze at kick-off and are graded in our public track record. Read the full methodology.

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