Le Mans vs Lorient prediction
Saturday 19 September 2026, 19:45, Stade Marie-Marvingt
Full time: 2-1
Our prediction
The model gives Le Mans a 40% chance of winning, 26% for a draw and 34% for Lorient. Expected goals: Le Mans 1.6, Lorient 1.4. Most likely score: 1-1.
MNS40%Draw26%LOR34%
Predictions by market
Match result (1X2)Home40%✓Fair odds 2.48Double chanceEither team74%✓Fair odds 1.35Over/Under 2.5 goalsOver 2.558%✓Fair odds 1.73Over/Under 1.5 goalsOver 1.581%✓Fair odds 1.24Both teams to scoreYes61%✓Fair odds 1.64Correct score1-112%✗Fair odds 8.29Draw no betHome54%✓Fair odds 1.84Asian handicapAway +0.560%✗Fair odds 1.68Odd/Even goalsEven52%✗Fair odds 1.93First team to scoreHome49%✓Fair odds 2.02Win to nilHome18%✗Fair odds 5.49
Goals
| Over 1.5 goals | 81% |
|---|---|
| Over 2.5 goals | 58% |
| Over 3.5 goals | 35% |
| Both teams score | 61% |
Most likely scores
- 1-112.1%
- 2-18.8%
- 1-28%
- 1-07%
- 2-26.3%
Recent form
Le Mans
- DLe Mans 2-2 Lens
- DNice 1-1 Le Mans
- LStade Rennais 3-2 Le Mans
- DLe Mans 2-2 Brest
Lorient
- DLorient 2-2 Toulouse
- WLens 0-1 Lorient
- LLorient 1-2 Troyes
- DNice 0-0 Lorient
- LLorient 0-2 Le Havre AC
How this prediction was made
This is a statistical forecast, not a guarantee. It comes from a goals model fitted on 7,122 recent results across Europe's top leagues, weighting recent matches more heavily. Picks freeze at kick-off and are graded in our public track record. Read the full methodology.