Le Mans vs Toulouse prediction
Friday 16 October 2026, 19:45, Stade Marie-Marvingt
Full time: 0-3
Our prediction
The model gives Le Mans a 46% chance of winning, 24% for a draw and 30% for Toulouse. Expected goals: Le Mans 1.9, Toulouse 1.5. Most likely score: 1-1.
MNS46%Draw24%TOU30%
Predictions by market
Match result (1X2)Home46%✗Fair odds 2.18Double chanceEither team76%✓Fair odds 1.31Over/Under 2.5 goalsOver 2.566%✓Fair odds 1.51Over/Under 1.5 goalsOver 1.586%✓Fair odds 1.16Both teams to scoreYes67%✗Fair odds 1.49Correct score1-110%✗Fair odds 9.78Draw no betHome60%✗Fair odds 1.66Asian handicapAway +1.574%✓Fair odds 1.35Odd/Even goalsEven52%✗Fair odds 1.94First team to scoreHome53%✗Fair odds 1.88Win to nilHome18%✗Fair odds 5.60
Goals
| Over 1.5 goals | 86% |
|---|---|
| Over 2.5 goals | 66% |
| Over 3.5 goals | 45% |
| Both teams score | 67% |
Most likely scores
- 1-110.2%
- 2-19%
- 1-27.2%
- 2-26.8%
- 2-05.9%
Recent form
Le Mans
- LParis Saint-Germain 3-1 Le Mans
- WLe Mans 2-1 Lorient
- DLe Mans 2-2 Lens
- DNice 1-1 Le Mans
- LStade Rennais 3-2 Le Mans
Toulouse
- DAS Monaco 2-2 Toulouse
- WToulouse 3-2 Le Havre AC
- DLorient 2-2 Toulouse
- LToulouse 0-1 Lille
- DBrest 2-2 Toulouse
How this prediction was made
This is a statistical forecast, not a guarantee. It comes from a goals model fitted on 7,081 recent results across Europe's top leagues, weighting recent matches more heavily. Picks freeze at kick-off and are graded in our public track record. Read the full methodology.