Lech Poznan vs Bayer Leverkusen prediction
Thursday 15 October 2026, 17:45, Municipal Stadium-Poznan
Full time: 0-4
Our prediction
The model gives Lech Poznan a 17% chance of winning, 21% for a draw and 62% for Bayer Leverkusen. Expected goals: Lech Poznan 1.1, Bayer Leverkusen 2.2. Most likely score: 1-2.
LECH17%Draw21%B0462%
Predictions by market
Match result (1X2)Away62%✓Fair odds 1.60Double chanceAway or draw83%✓Fair odds 1.20Over/Under 2.5 goalsOver 2.565%✓Fair odds 1.54Over/Under 1.5 goalsOver 1.585%✓Fair odds 1.17Both teams to scoreYes60%✗Fair odds 1.66Correct score1-210%✗Fair odds 10.22Draw no betAway79%✓Fair odds 1.27Asian handicapAway -0.562%✓Fair odds 1.60Odd/Even goalsEven51%✓Fair odds 1.94First team to scoreAway64%✓Fair odds 1.56Win to nilAway29%✓Fair odds 3.44
Goals
| Over 1.5 goals | 85% |
|---|---|
| Over 2.5 goals | 65% |
| Over 3.5 goals | 43% |
| Both teams score | 60% |
Most likely scores
- 1-29.8%
- 1-19.4%
- 0-28.9%
- 1-37.3%
- 0-17.2%
Recent form
Lech Poznan
- LCrystal Palace 4-0 Lech Poznan
Bayer Leverkusen
- WMainz 3-4 Bayer Leverkusen
- WBayer Leverkusen 2-0 RB Leipzig
- WBayer Leverkusen 2-0 NK Celje
- DFC Augsburg 2-2 Bayer Leverkusen
- WBayer Leverkusen 4-0 1. FC Union Berlin
How this prediction was made
This is a statistical forecast, not a guarantee. It comes from a goals model fitted on 7,122 recent results across Europe's top leagues, weighting recent matches more heavily. Picks freeze at kick-off and are graded in our public track record. Read the full methodology.