Lech Poznan vs Sunderland prediction

Thursday 22 October 2026, 17:45, Municipal Stadium-Poznan

Full time: 1-1

Our prediction

The model gives Lech Poznan a 17% chance of winning, 24% for a draw and 59% for Sunderland. Expected goals: Lech Poznan 0.9, Sunderland 1.8. Most likely score: 1-1.

Predictions by market

Goals

Over 1.5 goals76%
Over 2.5 goals51%
Over 3.5 goals29%
Both teams score51%

Most likely scores

  • 1-111.6%
  • 0-111.1%
  • 0-211%
  • 1-29.8%
  • 0-07.4%

Recent form

Lech Poznan

  • LLech Poznan 0-4 Bayer Leverkusen
  • LCrystal Palace 4-0 Lech Poznan

Sunderland

  • LAFC Bournemouth 2-0 Sunderland
  • WTorreense 1-2 Sunderland
  • LSunderland 0-2 Brighton & Hove Albion
  • LManchester City 5-3 Sunderland
  • WSunderland 1-0 AZ Alkmaar

How this prediction was made

This is a statistical forecast, not a guarantee. It comes from a goals model fitted on 7,122 recent results across Europe's top leagues, weighting recent matches more heavily. Picks freeze at kick-off and are graded in our public track record. Read the full methodology.

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