Lens vs Lyon prediction

Friday 9 October 2026, 19:45, Stade Bollaert-Delelis

Full time: 2-1

Our prediction

The model gives Lens a 43% chance of winning, 26% for a draw and 32% for Lyon. Expected goals: Lens 1.6, Lyon 1.4. Most likely score: 1-1.

Predictions by market

Goals

Over 1.5 goals82%
Over 2.5 goals58%
Over 3.5 goals36%
Both teams score62%

Most likely scores

  • 1-111.9%
  • 2-19%
  • 1-27.7%
  • 1-07%
  • 2-06.5%

Recent form

Lens

  • LAS Monaco 2-1 Lens
  • DLe Mans 2-2 Lens
  • WSlavia Prague 2-3 Lens
  • LLens 0-1 Lorient
  • LStrasbourg 2-1 Lens

Lyon

  • WLyon 4-0 Stade Rennais
  • WAnderlecht 1-2 Lyon
  • DParis FC 0-0 Lyon
  • WLyon 3-1 AJ Auxerre
  • DLyon 1-1 Le Havre AC

Head to head

  • WLyon 0-4 Lens

How this prediction was made

This is a statistical forecast, not a guarantee. It comes from a goals model fitted on 7,122 recent results across Europe's top leagues, weighting recent matches more heavily. Picks freeze at kick-off and are graded in our public track record. Read the full methodology.

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