Lens vs Marseille prediction

Sunday 8 November 2026, 20:45, Stade Bollaert-Delelis

Our prediction

The model gives Lens a 51% chance of winning, 23% for a draw and 26% for Marseille. Expected goals: Lens 2.0, Marseille 1.4. Most likely score: 1-1.

Predictions by market

Goals

Over 1.5 goals87%
Over 2.5 goals67%
Over 3.5 goals46%
Both teams score67%

Most likely scores

  • 1-19.8%
  • 2-19.3%
  • 2-26.6%
  • 2-06.6%
  • 1-26.4%

Recent form

Lens

  • LLille 1-0 Lens
  • WLens 2-1 Paris FC
  • LClub Brugge 3-0 Lens
  • WTroyes 1-3 Lens
  • LLens 0-2 Sporting CP

Marseille

  • WMarseille 2-0 Toulouse
  • WMarseille 4-3 Le Havre AC
  • LSK Sturm Graz 1-0 Marseille
  • WAngers 2-5 Marseille
  • LMarseille 0-1 Olympiacos

Head to head

  • LMarseille 3-1 Lens
  • WLens 2-1 Marseille

How this prediction was made

This is a statistical forecast, not a guarantee. It comes from a goals model fitted on 7,081 recent results across Europe's top leagues, weighting recent matches more heavily. Picks freeze at kick-off and are graded in our public track record. Read the full methodology.

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