León vs América prediction

Sunday 18 October 2026, 02:00, Estadio León

Full time: 3-5

Our prediction

The model gives León a 28% chance of winning, 26% for a draw and 45% for América. Expected goals: León 1.2, América 1.6. Most likely score: 1-1.

Predictions by market

Goals

Over 1.5 goals79%
Over 2.5 goals55%
Over 3.5 goals32%
Both teams score58%

Most likely scores

  • 1-112.4%
  • 1-29.3%
  • 0-18.3%
  • 0-27.5%
  • 2-17.1%

Recent form

León

  • DPuebla 1-1 León
  • WLeón 2-1 FC Juárez
  • DQuerétaro 1-1 León
  • WLeón 2-0 Atlético de San Luis
  • LPumas UNAM 3-1 León

América

  • DAmérica 1-1 Monterrey
  • WNecaxa 2-4 América
  • DAmérica 2-2 Guadalajara
  • LCruz Azul 4-3 América
  • WAmérica 2-0 Puebla

Head to head

  • LLeón 2-3 América
  • LAmérica 2-0 León

How this prediction was made

This is a statistical forecast, not a guarantee. It comes from a goals model fitted on 7,122 recent results across Europe's top leagues, weighting recent matches more heavily. Picks freeze at kick-off and are graded in our public track record. Read the full methodology.

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