León vs Toluca prediction
Sunday 25 October 2026, 00:00, Estadio León
Full time: 1-1
Our prediction
The model gives León a 25% chance of winning, 24% for a draw and 51% for Toluca. Expected goals: León 1.3, Toluca 1.9. Most likely score: 1-1.
LEO25%Draw24%TOL51%
Predictions by market
Match result (1X2)Away51%✗Fair odds 1.96Double chanceEither team76%✗Fair odds 1.32Over/Under 2.5 goalsOver 2.561%✗Fair odds 1.63Over/Under 1.5 goalsOver 1.583%✓Fair odds 1.20Both teams to scoreYes62%✓Fair odds 1.61Correct score1-111%✓Fair odds 9.12Draw no betAway67%Fair odds 1.49Asian handicapHome +1.570%✓Fair odds 1.42Odd/Even goalsEven52%✓Fair odds 1.93First team to scoreAway57%✗Fair odds 1.76Win to nilAway23%✗Fair odds 4.37
Goals
| Over 1.5 goals | 83% |
|---|---|
| Over 2.5 goals | 61% |
| Over 3.5 goals | 39% |
| Both teams score | 62% |
Most likely scores
- 1-111%
- 1-29.6%
- 0-27.5%
- 0-17.1%
- 2-16.5%
Recent form
León
- WTigres UANL 0-2 León
- LLeón 3-5 América
- DPuebla 1-1 León
- WLeón 2-1 FC Juárez
- DQuerétaro 1-1 León
Toluca
- DToluca 2-2 Tijuana
- DToluca 1-1 Atlético de San Luis
- LTigres UANL 3-2 Toluca
- DCruz Azul 3-3 Toluca
- LToluca 2-3 Santos
Head to head
- LToluca 4-1 León
- LLeón 2-4 Toluca
How this prediction was made
This is a statistical forecast, not a guarantee. It comes from a goals model fitted on 7,081 recent results across Europe's top leagues, weighting recent matches more heavily. Picks freeze at kick-off and are graded in our public track record. Read the full methodology.