Lille vs Brest prediction

Saturday 17 October 2026, 19:45, Decathlon Arena - Stade Pierre-Mauroy

Full time: 1-1

Our prediction

The model gives Lille a 50% chance of winning, 27% for a draw and 23% for Brest. Expected goals: Lille 1.6, Brest 1.0. Most likely score: 1-1.

Predictions by market

Goals

Over 1.5 goals74%
Over 2.5 goals48%
Over 3.5 goals26%
Both teams score51%

Most likely scores

  • 1-112.9%
  • 1-011%
  • 2-09.5%
  • 2-19.5%
  • 0-08.5%

Recent form

Lille

  • LArsenal 3-0 Lille
  • WLille 1-0 Le Havre AC
  • LNice 2-1 Lille
  • WLille 2-0 Troyes
  • LLille 2-3 Real Betis

Brest

  • WBrest 5-1 Angers
  • LAJ Auxerre 2-1 Brest
  • LBrest 0-1 Paris Saint-Germain
  • WLe Havre AC 1-2 Brest
  • DBrest 2-2 Toulouse

Head to head

  • DLille 1-1 Brest

How this prediction was made

This is a statistical forecast, not a guarantee. It comes from a goals model fitted on 7,081 recent results across Europe's top leagues, weighting recent matches more heavily. Picks freeze at kick-off and are graded in our public track record. Read the full methodology.

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