Lille vs Troyes prediction
Sunday 13 September 2026, 14:00, Decathlon Arena - Stade Pierre-Mauroy
Full time: 2-0
Our prediction
The model gives Lille a 60% chance of winning, 24% for a draw and 16% for Troyes. Expected goals: Lille 1.9, Troyes 0.9. Most likely score: 1-1.
LILL60%Draw24%TRY16%
Predictions by market
Match result (1X2)Home60%✓Fair odds 1.66Double chanceHome or draw84%✓Fair odds 1.19Over/Under 2.5 goalsOver 2.553%✗Fair odds 1.90Over/Under 1.5 goalsOver 1.577%✓Fair odds 1.29Both teams to scoreYes51%✗Fair odds 1.97Correct score1-111%✗Fair odds 8.89Draw no betHome79%✓Fair odds 1.27Asian handicapHome -0.560%✓Fair odds 1.66Odd/Even goalsEven52%✓Fair odds 1.93First team to scoreHome63%✓Fair odds 1.58Win to nilHome34%✓Fair odds 2.92
Goals
| Over 1.5 goals | 77% |
|---|---|
| Over 2.5 goals | 53% |
| Over 3.5 goals | 30% |
| Both teams score | 51% |
Most likely scores
- 1-111.3%
- 2-011.1%
- 1-010.9%
- 2-19.9%
- 0-07.1%
Recent form
Lille
- LLille 2-3 Real Betis
- WToulouse 0-1 Lille
- DLille 2-2 Paris Saint-Germain
- WAngers 0-2 Lille
- LLille 0-2 AJ Auxerre
Troyes
- LTroyes 2-6 Strasbourg
- WLorient 1-2 Troyes
- DTroyes 0-0 Paris FC
How this prediction was made
This is a statistical forecast, not a guarantee. It comes from a goals model fitted on 7,081 recent results across Europe's top leagues, weighting recent matches more heavily. Picks freeze at kick-off and are graded in our public track record. Read the full methodology.