Lillestrom vs Real Sociedad prediction

Thursday 22 October 2026, 20:00, Arasen Stadion

Full time: 0-6

Our prediction

The model gives Lillestrom a 38% chance of winning, 25% for a draw and 37% for Real Sociedad. Expected goals: Lillestrom 1.6, Real Sociedad 1.6. Most likely score: 1-1.

Predictions by market

Goals

Over 1.5 goals83%
Over 2.5 goals62%
Over 3.5 goals39%
Both teams score64%

Most likely scores

  • 1-111.4%
  • 2-18.4%
  • 1-28.3%
  • 2-26.6%
  • 1-05.9%

Recent form

Lillestrom

  • DSparta Prague 1-1 Lillestrom
  • LLillestrom 1-2 Torreense

Real Sociedad

  • WMálaga 2-5 Real Sociedad
  • DUnion St.-Gilloise 1-1 Real Sociedad
  • WReal Sociedad 3-2 Deportivo
  • WValencia 2-3 Real Sociedad
  • LReal Sociedad 1-2 AFC Bournemouth

How this prediction was made

This is a statistical forecast, not a guarantee. It comes from a goals model fitted on 7,081 recent results across Europe's top leagues, weighting recent matches more heavily. Picks freeze at kick-off and are graded in our public track record. Read the full methodology.

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