Lincoln City vs Southampton prediction

Saturday 5 September 2026, 12:30, LNER Stadium

Full time: 1-1

Our prediction

The model gives Lincoln City a 24% chance of winning, 24% for a draw and 53% for Southampton. Expected goals: Lincoln City 1.3, Southampton 1.9. Most likely score: 1-1.

Predictions by market

Goals

Over 1.5 goals84%
Over 2.5 goals62%
Over 3.5 goals40%
Both teams score62%

Most likely scores

  • 1-110.8%
  • 1-29.7%
  • 0-27.7%
  • 0-17.1%
  • 1-36.3%

Recent form

Lincoln City

  • DLincoln City 0-0 Blackburn Rovers
  • WBolton Wanderers 0-1 Lincoln City
  • LLincoln City 1-3 Portsmouth
  • LMiddlesbrough 2-1 Lincoln City

Southampton

  • DBirmingham City 1-1 Southampton
  • WSouthampton 5-1 Millwall
  • WSouthampton 3-1 Stoke City
  • LWatford 2-1 Southampton
  • DMiddlesbrough 0-0 Southampton

How this prediction was made

This is a statistical forecast, not a guarantee. It comes from a goals model fitted on 7,122 recent results across Europe's top leagues, weighting recent matches more heavily. Picks freeze at kick-off and are graded in our public track record. Read the full methodology.

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