Lorient vs AS Monaco prediction
Sunday 18 October 2026, 16:15, Stade du Moustoir - Yves Allainmat
Full time: 1-0
Our prediction
The model gives Lorient a 37% chance of winning, 28% for a draw and 35% for AS Monaco. Expected goals: Lorient 1.4, AS Monaco 1.3. Most likely score: 1-1.
LOR37%Draw28%MON35%
Predictions by market
Match result (1X2)Home37%✓Fair odds 2.70Double chanceEither team72%✓Fair odds 1.39Over/Under 2.5 goalsOver 2.550%✗Fair odds 1.98Over/Under 1.5 goalsOver 1.576%✗Fair odds 1.32Both teams to scoreYes56%✗Fair odds 1.80Correct score1-113%✗Fair odds 7.55Draw no betHome51%✓Fair odds 1.95Asian handicapAway +0.563%✗Fair odds 1.59Odd/Even goalsEven52%✗Fair odds 1.92First team to scoreHome47%✓Fair odds 2.13Win to nilHome19%✓Fair odds 5.31
Goals
| Over 1.5 goals | 76% |
|---|---|
| Over 2.5 goals | 50% |
| Over 3.5 goals | 28% |
| Both teams score | 56% |
Most likely scores
- 1-113.3%
- 2-18.4%
- 1-08.3%
- 1-28.1%
- 0-18%
Recent form
Lorient
- WLorient 1-0 Paris FC
- LLe Mans 2-1 Lorient
- DLorient 2-2 Toulouse
- WLens 0-1 Lorient
- LLorient 1-2 Troyes
AS Monaco
- DAS Monaco 2-2 Toulouse
- WAS Monaco 2-1 Lens
- DStrasbourg 1-1 AS Monaco
- WParis Saint-Germain 1-2 AS Monaco
- WAS Monaco 2-0 Marseille
Head to head
- WAS Monaco 1-3 Lorient
- WLorient 3-1 AS Monaco
How this prediction was made
This is a statistical forecast, not a guarantee. It comes from a goals model fitted on 7,081 recent results across Europe's top leagues, weighting recent matches more heavily. Picks freeze at kick-off and are graded in our public track record. Read the full methodology.