Lorient vs Toulouse prediction
Saturday 12 September 2026, 19:45, Stade du Moustoir - Yves Allainmat
Full time: 2-2
Our prediction
The model gives Lorient a 46% chance of winning, 28% for a draw and 25% for Toulouse. Expected goals: Lorient 1.5, Toulouse 1.0. Most likely score: 1-1.
LOR46%Draw28%TOU25%
Predictions by market
Match result (1X2)Home46%✗Fair odds 2.17Double chanceHome or draw75%✓Fair odds 1.34Over/Under 2.5 goalsUnder 2.555%✗Fair odds 1.81Over/Under 1.5 goalsOver 1.572%✓Fair odds 1.40Both teams to scoreNo50%✗Fair odds 1.99Correct score1-114%✗Fair odds 7.40Draw no betHome65%Fair odds 1.55Asian handicapAway +1.577%✓Fair odds 1.30Odd/Even goalsEven52%✓Fair odds 1.91First team to scoreHome53%✓Fair odds 1.88Win to nilHome27%✗Fair odds 3.74
Goals
| Over 1.5 goals | 72% |
|---|---|
| Over 2.5 goals | 45% |
| Over 3.5 goals | 24% |
| Both teams score | 50% |
Most likely scores
- 1-113.5%
- 1-011.3%
- 0-09.5%
- 2-19.1%
- 2-08.9%
Recent form
Lorient
- WLens 0-1 Lorient
- LLorient 1-2 Troyes
- DNice 0-0 Lorient
- LLorient 0-2 Le Havre AC
- WMetz 0-4 Lorient
Toulouse
- LToulouse 0-1 Lille
- DBrest 2-2 Toulouse
- LToulouse 0-2 Lyon
- WToulouse 2-1 Lyon
- WStrasbourg 1-2 Toulouse
Head to head
- LToulouse 1-0 Lorient
- DLorient 1-1 Toulouse
How this prediction was made
This is a statistical forecast, not a guarantee. It comes from a goals model fitted on 7,122 recent results across Europe's top leagues, weighting recent matches more heavily. Picks freeze at kick-off and are graded in our public track record. Read the full methodology.