Mainz vs Werder Bremen prediction
Saturday 24 October 2026, 14:30, MEWA ARENA
Full time: 2-3
Our prediction
The model gives Mainz a 53% chance of winning, 24% for a draw and 23% for Werder Bremen. Expected goals: Mainz 1.9, Werder Bremen 1.2. Most likely score: 1-1.
M0553%Draw24%SVW23%
Predictions by market
Match result (1X2)Home53%✗Fair odds 1.88Double chanceHome or draw77%✗Fair odds 1.30Over/Under 2.5 goalsOver 2.561%✓Fair odds 1.64Over/Under 1.5 goalsOver 1.583%✓Fair odds 1.20Both teams to scoreYes61%✓Fair odds 1.64Correct score1-111%✗Fair odds 9.19Draw no betHome70%✗Fair odds 1.44Asian handicapAway +1.569%✓Fair odds 1.45Odd/Even goalsEven52%✗Fair odds 1.93First team to scoreHome58%✗Fair odds 1.72Win to nilHome24%✗Fair odds 4.10
Goals
| Over 1.5 goals | 83% |
|---|---|
| Over 2.5 goals | 61% |
| Over 3.5 goals | 39% |
| Both teams score | 61% |
Most likely scores
- 1-110.9%
- 2-19.7%
- 2-08%
- 1-07.4%
- 3-16.3%
Recent form
Mainz
- WSchalke 04 0-1 Mainz
- LMainz 3-4 Bayer Leverkusen
- WBorussia Mönchengladbach 3-4 Mainz
- LMainz 1-3 Eintracht Frankfurt
- WHamburg SV 0-5 Mainz
Werder Bremen
- DWerder Bremen 2-2 SC Paderborn 07
- DBorussia Dortmund 2-2 Werder Bremen
- WWerder Bremen 3-2 FC Augsburg
- DFC Cologne 1-1 Werder Bremen
- WWerder Bremen 3-1 RB Leipzig
Head to head
- WWerder Bremen 0-2 Mainz
- DMainz 1-1 Werder Bremen
How this prediction was made
This is a statistical forecast, not a guarantee. It comes from a goals model fitted on 7,122 recent results across Europe's top leagues, weighting recent matches more heavily. Picks freeze at kick-off and are graded in our public track record. Read the full methodology.