Marseille vs Toulouse prediction
Sunday 1 November 2026, 20:45, Stade Vélodrome
Full time: 2-0
Our prediction
The model gives Marseille a 48% chance of winning, 24% for a draw and 27% for Toulouse. Expected goals: Marseille 1.9, Toulouse 1.4. Most likely score: 1-1.
OLM48%Draw24%TOU27%
Predictions by market
Match result (1X2)Home48%✓Fair odds 2.07Double chanceEither team76%✓Fair odds 1.32Over/Under 2.5 goalsOver 2.562%✗Fair odds 1.61Over/Under 1.5 goalsOver 1.584%✓Fair odds 1.19Both teams to scoreYes63%✗Fair odds 1.58Correct score1-111%✗Fair odds 9.12Draw no betHome64%✓Fair odds 1.57Asian handicapAway +1.573%✗Fair odds 1.38Odd/Even goalsEven52%✓Fair odds 1.93First team to scoreHome55%✓Fair odds 1.82Win to nilHome21%✓Fair odds 4.78
Goals
| Over 1.5 goals | 84% |
|---|---|
| Over 2.5 goals | 62% |
| Over 3.5 goals | 40% |
| Both teams score | 63% |
Most likely scores
- 1-111%
- 2-19.4%
- 2-06.9%
- 1-26.9%
- 1-06.7%
Recent form
Marseille
- WMarseille 4-3 Le Havre AC
- LSK Sturm Graz 1-0 Marseille
- WAngers 2-5 Marseille
- LMarseille 0-1 Olympiacos
- WTroyes 0-2 Marseille
Toulouse
- DToulouse 0-0 Troyes
- WLe Mans 0-3 Toulouse
- DAS Monaco 2-2 Toulouse
- WToulouse 3-2 Le Havre AC
- DLorient 2-2 Toulouse
Head to head
- WToulouse 0-1 Marseille
- DMarseille 2-2 Toulouse
How this prediction was made
This is a statistical forecast, not a guarantee. It comes from a goals model fitted on 7,122 recent results across Europe's top leagues, weighting recent matches more heavily. Picks freeze at kick-off and are graded in our public track record. Read the full methodology.