Middlesbrough vs Cardiff City prediction
Saturday 17 October 2026, 12:30, Riverside Stadium
Full time: 2-2
Our prediction
The model gives Middlesbrough a 61% chance of winning, 22% for a draw and 17% for Cardiff City. Expected goals: Middlesbrough 2.0, Cardiff City 1.0. Most likely score: 1-1.
MID61%Draw22%CAR17%
Predictions by market
Match result (1X2)Home61%✗Fair odds 1.65Double chanceHome or draw83%✓Fair odds 1.20Over/Under 2.5 goalsOver 2.559%✓Fair odds 1.71Over/Under 1.5 goalsOver 1.581%✓Fair odds 1.23Both teams to scoreYes56%✓Fair odds 1.80Correct score1-111%✗Fair odds 9.49Draw no betHome78%Fair odds 1.28Asian handicapHome -0.561%✗Fair odds 1.65Odd/Even goalsEven52%✓Fair odds 1.93First team to scoreHome63%✗Fair odds 1.58Win to nilHome31%✗Fair odds 3.19
Goals
| Over 1.5 goals | 81% |
|---|---|
| Over 2.5 goals | 59% |
| Over 3.5 goals | 36% |
| Both teams score | 56% |
Most likely scores
- 1-110.5%
- 2-010%
- 2-110%
- 1-09%
- 3-06.8%
Recent form
Middlesbrough
- WStoke City 2-3 Middlesbrough
- WMiddlesbrough 1-0 Wolverhampton Wanderers
- DBirmingham City 2-2 Middlesbrough
- DMiddlesbrough 2-2 Millwall
- WMiddlesbrough 4-3 Norwich City
Cardiff City
- WCardiff City 5-1 Watford
- LBlackburn Rovers 2-1 Cardiff City
- WCardiff City 3-1 Charlton Athletic
- LBolton Wanderers 1-0 Cardiff City
- DCardiff City 1-1 Stoke City
How this prediction was made
This is a statistical forecast, not a guarantee. It comes from a goals model fitted on 7,122 recent results across Europe's top leagues, weighting recent matches more heavily. Picks freeze at kick-off and are graded in our public track record. Read the full methodology.