Middlesbrough vs Norwich City prediction
Saturday 12 September 2026, 15:00, Riverside Stadium
Full time: 4-3
Our prediction
The model gives Middlesbrough a 48% chance of winning, 27% for a draw and 25% for Norwich City. Expected goals: Middlesbrough 1.6, Norwich City 1.1. Most likely score: 1-1.
MID48%Draw27%NOR25%
Predictions by market
Match result (1X2)Home48%✓Fair odds 2.09Double chanceHome or draw75%✓Fair odds 1.33Over/Under 2.5 goalsUnder 2.551%✗Fair odds 1.97Over/Under 1.5 goalsOver 1.575%✓Fair odds 1.33Both teams to scoreYes53%✓Fair odds 1.88Correct score1-113%✗Fair odds 7.73Draw no betHome66%✓Fair odds 1.52Asian handicapAway +1.575%✓Fair odds 1.34Odd/Even goalsEven52%✗Fair odds 1.92First team to scoreHome55%✗Fair odds 1.83Win to nilHome26%✗Fair odds 3.83
Goals
| Over 1.5 goals | 75% |
|---|---|
| Over 2.5 goals | 49% |
| Over 3.5 goals | 27% |
| Both teams score | 53% |
Most likely scores
- 1-112.9%
- 1-010.2%
- 2-19.4%
- 2-08.8%
- 0-08%
Recent form
Middlesbrough
- WQueens Park Rangers 0-1 Middlesbrough
- DBurnley 1-1 Middlesbrough
- WMiddlesbrough 3-1 West Bromwich Albion
- LBlackburn Rovers 2-1 Middlesbrough
- WMiddlesbrough 2-1 Lincoln City
Norwich City
- WNorwich City 2-1 Birmingham City
- WSheffield United 1-3 Norwich City
- LStoke City 1-0 Norwich City
- WNorwich City 4-1 Burnley
- LMillwall 3-0 Norwich City
Head to head
- WMiddlesbrough 1-0 Norwich City
How this prediction was made
This is a statistical forecast, not a guarantee. It comes from a goals model fitted on 7,122 recent results across Europe's top leagues, weighting recent matches more heavily. Picks freeze at kick-off and are graded in our public track record. Read the full methodology.