Minnesota United FC vs St. Louis CITY SC prediction
Saturday 17 October 2026, 21:30, Allianz Field
Full time: 3-2
Our prediction
The model gives Minnesota United FC a 27% chance of winning, 22% for a draw and 51% for St. Louis CITY SC. Expected goals: Minnesota United FC 1.6, St. Louis CITY SC 2.1. Most likely score: 1-1.
MIN27%Draw22%STL51%
Predictions by market
Match result (1X2)Away51%✗Fair odds 1.98Double chanceEither team78%✓Fair odds 1.28Over/Under 2.5 goalsOver 2.572%✓Fair odds 1.40Over/Under 1.5 goalsOver 1.589%✓Fair odds 1.12Both teams to scoreYes70%✓Fair odds 1.42Correct score1-19%✗Fair odds 11.26Draw no betAway65%✗Fair odds 1.54Asian handicapHome +1.569%✓Fair odds 1.44Odd/Even goalsEven51%✗Fair odds 1.95First team to scoreAway56%✓Fair odds 1.78Win to nilAway18%✗Fair odds 5.58
Goals
| Over 1.5 goals | 89% |
|---|---|
| Over 2.5 goals | 72% |
| Over 3.5 goals | 51% |
| Both teams score | 70% |
Most likely scores
- 1-18.9%
- 1-28.8%
- 2-26.9%
- 2-16.4%
- 1-36.3%
Recent form
Minnesota United FC
- DColorado Rapids 2-2 Minnesota United FC
- DMinnesota United FC 2-2 Houston Dynamo FC
- LSeattle Sounders FC 3-1 Minnesota United FC
- LMinnesota United FC 2-3 LA Galaxy
- LSt. Louis CITY SC 4-2 Minnesota United FC
St. Louis CITY SC
- DSt. Louis CITY SC 0-0 Vancouver Whitecaps
- WSt. Louis CITY SC 6-2 LA Galaxy
- WRed Bull New York 0-3 St. Louis CITY SC
- WSt. Louis CITY SC 3-1 Toronto FC
- WSt. Louis CITY SC 4-2 Minnesota United FC
Head to head
- LSt. Louis CITY SC 4-2 Minnesota United FC
How this prediction was made
This is a statistical forecast, not a guarantee. It comes from a goals model fitted on 7,081 recent results across Europe's top leagues, weighting recent matches more heavily. Picks freeze at kick-off and are graded in our public track record. Read the full methodology.