Monterrey vs Cruz Azul prediction
Sunday 20 September 2026, 02:10, Estadio BBVA
Full time: 1-0
Our prediction
The model gives Monterrey a 33% chance of winning, 25% for a draw and 42% for Cruz Azul. Expected goals: Monterrey 1.5, Cruz Azul 1.7. Most likely score: 1-1.
MTY33%Draw25%CAZ42%
Predictions by market
Match result (1X2)Away42%✗Fair odds 2.37Double chanceEither team75%✓Fair odds 1.33Over/Under 2.5 goalsOver 2.562%✗Fair odds 1.61Over/Under 1.5 goalsOver 1.584%✗Fair odds 1.20Both teams to scoreYes64%✗Fair odds 1.56Correct score1-111%✗Fair odds 8.90Draw no betAway56%✗Fair odds 1.78Asian handicapHome +0.558%✓Fair odds 1.73Odd/Even goalsEven52%✗Fair odds 1.93First team to scoreAway51%✗Fair odds 1.97Win to nilAway18%✗Fair odds 5.67
Goals
| Over 1.5 goals | 84% |
|---|---|
| Over 2.5 goals | 62% |
| Over 3.5 goals | 40% |
| Both teams score | 64% |
Most likely scores
- 1-111.2%
- 1-28.9%
- 2-17.8%
- 2-26.6%
- 0-16.2%
Recent form
Monterrey
- DMonterrey 0-0 Tigres UANL
- LMonterrey 1-3 Atlético de San Luis
- LLeón 2-0 Monterrey
- WMonterrey 6-1 FC Juárez
- WAtlas 0-2 Monterrey
Cruz Azul
- WCruz Azul 4-3 América
- WCruz Azul 1-0 Santos
- WNecaxa 1-3 Cruz Azul
- LCruz Azul 0-2 Atlas
- LTijuana 2-1 Cruz Azul
Head to head
- LMonterrey 0-2 Cruz Azul
- LCruz Azul 2-0 Monterrey
How this prediction was made
This is a statistical forecast, not a guarantee. It comes from a goals model fitted on 7,081 recent results across Europe's top leagues, weighting recent matches more heavily. Picks freeze at kick-off and are graded in our public track record. Read the full methodology.