Monterrey vs Guadalajara prediction
Sunday 25 October 2026, 02:00, Estadio BBVA
Full time: 0-1
Our prediction
The model gives Monterrey a 29% chance of winning, 27% for a draw and 44% for Guadalajara. Expected goals: Monterrey 1.2, Guadalajara 1.6. Most likely score: 1-1.
MTY29%Draw27%GDL44%
Predictions by market
Match result (1X2)Away44%✓Fair odds 2.25Double chanceEither team73%✓Fair odds 1.36Over/Under 2.5 goalsOver 2.554%✗Fair odds 1.87Over/Under 1.5 goalsOver 1.578%✗Fair odds 1.28Both teams to scoreYes57%✗Fair odds 1.74Correct score1-113%✗Fair odds 7.94Draw no betAway60%✓Fair odds 1.65Asian handicapHome +0.556%✗Fair odds 1.80Odd/Even goalsEven52%✗Fair odds 1.92First team to scoreAway52%✓Fair odds 1.92Win to nilAway22%✓Fair odds 4.53
Goals
| Over 1.5 goals | 78% |
|---|---|
| Over 2.5 goals | 54% |
| Over 3.5 goals | 31% |
| Both teams score | 57% |
Most likely scores
- 1-112.6%
- 1-29.2%
- 0-18.5%
- 0-27.5%
- 2-17.2%
Recent form
Monterrey
- WPuebla 1-4 Monterrey
- WMonterrey 2-1 Pachuca
- DAmérica 1-1 Monterrey
- LAtlante 4-2 Monterrey
- WMonterrey 1-0 Cruz Azul
Guadalajara
- WGuadalajara 1-0 Necaxa
- DGuadalajara 1-1 Tigres UANL
- DAtlas 1-1 Guadalajara
- LGuadalajara 0-2 Querétaro
- DAmérica 2-2 Guadalajara
Head to head
- LMonterrey 2-3 Guadalajara
- LGuadalajara 4-2 Monterrey
How this prediction was made
This is a statistical forecast, not a guarantee. It comes from a goals model fitted on 7,122 recent results across Europe's top leagues, weighting recent matches more heavily. Picks freeze at kick-off and are graded in our public track record. Read the full methodology.