Monterrey vs Pachuca prediction
Monday 19 October 2026, 02:00, Estadio BBVA
Full time: 2-1
Our prediction
The model gives Monterrey a 36% chance of winning, 28% for a draw and 36% for Pachuca. Expected goals: Monterrey 1.3, Pachuca 1.3. Most likely score: 1-1.
MTY36%Draw28%PAC36%
Predictions by market
Match result (1X2)Home36%✓Fair odds 2.75Double chanceEither team72%✓Fair odds 1.39Over/Under 2.5 goalsOver 2.550%✓Fair odds 1.99Over/Under 1.5 goalsOver 1.576%✓Fair odds 1.32Both teams to scoreYes55%✓Fair odds 1.80Correct score1-113%✗Fair odds 7.52Draw no betHome50%✓Fair odds 1.98Asian handicapAway +0.564%✗Fair odds 1.57Odd/Even goalsEven52%✗Fair odds 1.92First team to scoreHome46%✓Fair odds 2.16Win to nilHome19%✗Fair odds 5.40
Goals
| Over 1.5 goals | 76% |
|---|---|
| Over 2.5 goals | 50% |
| Over 3.5 goals | 28% |
| Both teams score | 55% |
Most likely scores
- 1-113.3%
- 2-18.3%
- 1-08.2%
- 1-28.2%
- 0-18.2%
Recent form
Monterrey
- DAmérica 1-1 Monterrey
- LAtlante 4-2 Monterrey
- WMonterrey 1-0 Cruz Azul
- DMonterrey 0-0 Tigres UANL
- LMonterrey 1-3 Atlético de San Luis
Pachuca
- DPachuca 3-3 Necaxa
- LSantos 1-0 Pachuca
- DPachuca 2-2 Tijuana
- WAtlante 0-3 Pachuca
- WFC Juárez 0-2 Pachuca
Head to head
- LMonterrey 1-3 Pachuca
How this prediction was made
This is a statistical forecast, not a guarantee. It comes from a goals model fitted on 7,081 recent results across Europe's top leagues, weighting recent matches more heavily. Picks freeze at kick-off and are graded in our public track record. Read the full methodology.