Napoli vs AS Roma prediction
Saturday 24 October 2026, 17:00, Stadio Diego Armando Maradona
Full time: 3-3
Our prediction
The model gives Napoli a 28% chance of winning, 29% for a draw and 42% for AS Roma. Expected goals: Napoli 1.1, AS Roma 1.3. Most likely score: 1-1.
NAP28%Draw29%ROMA42%
Predictions by market
Match result (1X2)Away42%✗Fair odds 2.37Double chanceAway or draw72%✓Fair odds 1.40Over/Under 2.5 goalsUnder 2.557%✗Fair odds 1.76Over/Under 1.5 goalsOver 1.570%✓Fair odds 1.42Both teams to scoreNo51%✗Fair odds 1.97Correct score1-114%✗Fair odds 7.19Draw no betAway60%Fair odds 1.67Asian handicapHome +0.558%✓Fair odds 1.73Odd/Even goalsEven52%✓Fair odds 1.91First team to scoreAway50%✗Fair odds 1.99Win to nilAway25%✗Fair odds 4.06
Goals
| Over 1.5 goals | 70% |
|---|---|
| Over 2.5 goals | 43% |
| Over 3.5 goals | 22% |
| Both teams score | 49% |
Most likely scores
- 1-113.9%
- 0-111.2%
- 0-010.1%
- 1-28.7%
- 1-08.6%
Recent form
Napoli
- WNapoli 4-3 Bodo/Glimt
- LVenezia 1-0 Napoli
- LVillarreal 3-1 Napoli
- WNapoli 3-0 Frosinone
- DFiorentina 1-1 Napoli
AS Roma
- WAS Roma 4-0 Slovan Bratislava
- WAS Roma 2-0 Genoa
- LAS Roma 3-4 Real Madrid
- DComo 0-0 AS Roma
- DAS Roma 2-2 Internazionale
Head to head
- DNapoli 2-2 AS Roma
- WAS Roma 0-1 Napoli
How this prediction was made
This is a statistical forecast, not a guarantee. It comes from a goals model fitted on 7,122 recent results across Europe's top leagues, weighting recent matches more heavily. Picks freeze at kick-off and are graded in our public track record. Read the full methodology.