Napoli vs Frosinone prediction
Saturday 10 October 2026, 19:45, Stadio Diego Armando Maradona
Full time: 3-0
Our prediction
The model gives Napoli a 38% chance of winning, 30% for a draw and 32% for Frosinone. Expected goals: Napoli 1.3, Frosinone 1.1. Most likely score: 1-1.
NAP38%Draw30%FRO32%
Predictions by market
Match result (1X2)Home38%✓Fair odds 2.60Double chanceEither team70%✓Fair odds 1.42Over/Under 2.5 goalsUnder 2.557%✗Fair odds 1.74Over/Under 1.5 goalsOver 1.570%✓Fair odds 1.43Both teams to scoreNo51%✓Fair odds 1.98Correct score1-114%✗Fair odds 7.09Draw no betHome55%✓Fair odds 1.83Asian handicapAway +0.562%✗Fair odds 1.63Odd/Even goalsEven53%✗Fair odds 1.90First team to scoreHome47%✓Fair odds 2.11Win to nilHome22%✓Fair odds 4.49
Goals
| Over 1.5 goals | 70% |
|---|---|
| Over 2.5 goals | 43% |
| Over 3.5 goals | 22% |
| Both teams score | 49% |
Most likely scores
- 1-114.1%
- 1-010.6%
- 0-010.3%
- 0-19.3%
- 2-18.2%
Recent form
Napoli
- DFiorentina 1-1 Napoli
- WNapoli 1-0 Bologna
- LNapoli 0-1 Arsenal
- LInternazionale 3-2 Napoli
- LNapoli 1-2 Como
Frosinone
- WFrosinone 2-0 Como
- DGenoa 1-1 Frosinone
- WFrosinone 3-2 Venezia
- WFiorentina 0-3 Frosinone
- LFrosinone 0-1 Juventus
How this prediction was made
This is a statistical forecast, not a guarantee. It comes from a goals model fitted on 7,122 recent results across Europe's top leagues, weighting recent matches more heavily. Picks freeze at kick-off and are graded in our public track record. Read the full methodology.