Nashville SC vs Sporting Kansas City prediction

Thursday 15 October 2026, 01:30, GEODIS Park

Full time: 4-0

Our prediction

The model gives Nashville SC a 82% chance of winning, 12% for a draw and 6% for Sporting Kansas City. Expected goals: Nashville SC 3.1, Sporting Kansas City 0.8. Most likely score: 3-0.

Predictions by market

Goals

Over 1.5 goals90%
Over 2.5 goals74%
Over 3.5 goals53%
Both teams score52%

Most likely scores

  • 3-010.3%
  • 2-010.2%
  • 3-18%
  • 4-07.9%
  • 2-17.9%

Recent form

Nashville SC

  • WAustin FC 1-4 Nashville SC
  • WNashville SC 2-0 Toronto FC
  • WNashville SC 3-0 Chicago Fire FC
  • DInter Miami CF 2-2 Nashville SC
  • LToronto FC 2-1 Nashville SC

Sporting Kansas City

  • DSporting Kansas City 3-3 Portland Timbers
  • LSeattle Sounders FC 2-1 Sporting Kansas City
  • WHouston Dynamo FC 0-2 Sporting Kansas City
  • LSporting Kansas City 3-4 Philadelphia Union
  • WSporting Kansas City 3-1 LAFC

How this prediction was made

This is a statistical forecast, not a guarantee. It comes from a goals model fitted on 7,122 recent results across Europe's top leagues, weighting recent matches more heavily. Picks freeze at kick-off and are graded in our public track record. Read the full methodology.

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