Necaxa vs América prediction
Monday 28 September 2026, 04:10, Estadio Victoria
Full time: 2-4
Our prediction
The model gives Necaxa a 26% chance of winning, 26% for a draw and 48% for América. Expected goals: Necaxa 1.2, América 1.7. Most likely score: 1-1.
NCX26%Draw26%AME48%
Predictions by market
Match result (1X2)Away48%✓Fair odds 2.09Double chanceEither team74%✓Fair odds 1.35Over/Under 2.5 goalsOver 2.554%✓Fair odds 1.85Over/Under 1.5 goalsOver 1.578%✓Fair odds 1.27Both teams to scoreYes57%✓Fair odds 1.76Correct score1-112%✗Fair odds 8.09Draw no betAway65%✓Fair odds 1.55Asian handicapHome +1.574%✗Fair odds 1.35Odd/Even goalsEven52%✓Fair odds 1.92First team to scoreAway55%✗Fair odds 1.83Win to nilAway24%✗Fair odds 4.16
Goals
| Over 1.5 goals | 78% |
|---|---|
| Over 2.5 goals | 54% |
| Over 3.5 goals | 32% |
| Both teams score | 57% |
Most likely scores
- 1-112.4%
- 1-29.5%
- 0-18.8%
- 0-28.1%
- 0-06.8%
Recent form
Necaxa
- LAtlético de San Luis 3-1 Necaxa
- LNecaxa 0-1 Puebla
- DTigres UANL 1-1 Necaxa
- LNecaxa 1-3 Cruz Azul
- DPumas UNAM 1-1 Necaxa
América
- DAmérica 2-2 Guadalajara
- LCruz Azul 4-3 América
- WAmérica 2-0 Puebla
- WFC Juárez 1-2 América
- WAmérica 3-0 Atlético de San Luis
Head to head
- LAmérica 2-0 Necaxa
How this prediction was made
This is a statistical forecast, not a guarantee. It comes from a goals model fitted on 7,081 recent results across Europe's top leagues, weighting recent matches more heavily. Picks freeze at kick-off and are graded in our public track record. Read the full methodology.