Necaxa vs Puebla prediction
Saturday 12 September 2026, 02:00, Estadio Victoria
Full time: 0-1
Our prediction
The model gives Necaxa a 47% chance of winning, 26% for a draw and 27% for Puebla. Expected goals: Necaxa 1.7, Puebla 1.2. Most likely score: 1-1.
NCX47%Draw26%PUE27%
Predictions by market
Match result (1X2)Home47%✗Fair odds 2.11Double chanceEither team74%✓Fair odds 1.35Over/Under 2.5 goalsOver 2.555%✗Fair odds 1.83Over/Under 1.5 goalsOver 1.579%✗Fair odds 1.27Both teams to scoreYes57%✗Fair odds 1.74Correct score1-112%✗Fair odds 8.12Draw no betHome64%✗Fair odds 1.56Asian handicapAway +1.574%✓Fair odds 1.34Odd/Even goalsEven52%✗Fair odds 1.92First team to scoreHome54%✗Fair odds 1.84Win to nilHome24%✗Fair odds 4.24
Goals
| Over 1.5 goals | 79% |
|---|---|
| Over 2.5 goals | 55% |
| Over 3.5 goals | 32% |
| Both teams score | 57% |
Most likely scores
- 1-112.3%
- 2-19.5%
- 1-08.6%
- 2-07.9%
- 1-26.8%
Recent form
Necaxa
- DTigres UANL 1-1 Necaxa
- LNecaxa 1-3 Cruz Azul
- DPumas UNAM 1-1 Necaxa
- LNecaxa 1-2 León
- LToluca 3-1 Necaxa
Puebla
- LAmérica 2-0 Puebla
- WPuebla 3-2 Santos
- WPachuca 2-3 Puebla
- DPuebla 1-1 Guadalajara
- LCruz Azul 2-1 Puebla
Head to head
- DPuebla 0-0 Necaxa
- WNecaxa 1-0 Puebla
How this prediction was made
This is a statistical forecast, not a guarantee. It comes from a goals model fitted on 7,122 recent results across Europe's top leagues, weighting recent matches more heavily. Picks freeze at kick-off and are graded in our public track record. Read the full methodology.