New York City FC vs LAFC prediction

Sunday 18 October 2026, 00:30, Citi Field

Full time: 1-1

Our prediction

The model gives New York City FC a 35% chance of winning, 30% for a draw and 34% for LAFC. Expected goals: New York City FC 1.2, LAFC 1.2. Most likely score: 1-1.

Predictions by market

Goals

Over 1.5 goals68%
Over 2.5 goals41%
Over 3.5 goals20%
Both teams score48%

Most likely scores

  • 1-114.3%
  • 0-010.9%
  • 1-010.4%
  • 0-110.3%
  • 2-17.7%

Recent form

New York City FC

  • LInter Miami CF 2-0 New York City FC
  • LChicago Fire FC 2-1 New York City FC
  • DAtlanta United FC 2-2 New York City FC
  • LNew York City FC 0-1 Red Bull New York
  • WReal Salt Lake 0-2 New York City FC

LAFC

  • WLAFC 3-1 Austin FC
  • DLAFC 1-1 Vancouver Whitecaps
  • LFC Dallas 1-0 LAFC
  • DSan Jose Earthquakes 2-2 LAFC
  • LSporting Kansas City 3-1 LAFC

How this prediction was made

This is a statistical forecast, not a guarantee. It comes from a goals model fitted on 7,122 recent results across Europe's top leagues, weighting recent matches more heavily. Picks freeze at kick-off and are graded in our public track record. Read the full methodology.

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