New York City FC vs New England Revolution prediction

Thursday 10 September 2026, 01:00, Citi Field

Full time: 1-2

Our prediction

The model gives New York City FC a 42% chance of winning, 28% for a draw and 30% for New England Revolution. Expected goals: New York City FC 1.4, New England Revolution 1.2. Most likely score: 1-1.

Predictions by market

Goals

Over 1.5 goals74%
Over 2.5 goals48%
Over 3.5 goals26%
Both teams score53%

Most likely scores

  • 1-113.5%
  • 1-09.6%
  • 2-18.9%
  • 0-08.5%
  • 0-17.8%

Recent form

New York City FC

  • DNew York City FC 0-0 Nashville SC
  • DToronto FC 1-1 New York City FC
  • DNew England Revolution 1-1 New York City FC
  • LFC Cincinnati 2-1 New York City FC
  • LNew York City FC 2-3 Philadelphia Union

New England Revolution

  • LLA Galaxy 2-1 New England Revolution
  • WColumbus Crew 1-3 New England Revolution
  • DNew England Revolution 1-1 New York City FC
  • WD.C. United 0-3 New England Revolution
  • LToronto FC 2-1 New England Revolution

Head to head

  • DNew England Revolution 1-1 New York City FC

How this prediction was made

This is a statistical forecast, not a guarantee. It comes from a goals model fitted on 7,081 recent results across Europe's top leagues, weighting recent matches more heavily. Picks freeze at kick-off and are graded in our public track record. Read the full methodology.

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