New York City FC vs Red Bull New York prediction

Saturday 19 September 2026, 00:30, Yankee Stadium

Full time: 0-1

Our prediction

The model gives New York City FC a 59% chance of winning, 24% for a draw and 17% for Red Bull New York. Expected goals: New York City FC 1.9, Red Bull New York 0.9. Most likely score: 1-1.

Predictions by market

Goals

Over 1.5 goals77%
Over 2.5 goals52%
Over 3.5 goals30%
Both teams score51%

Most likely scores

  • 1-111.5%
  • 2-010.8%
  • 1-010.8%
  • 2-19.9%
  • 0-07.1%

Recent form

New York City FC

  • WReal Salt Lake 0-2 New York City FC
  • LNew York City FC 1-2 New England Revolution
  • DNew York City FC 0-0 Nashville SC
  • DToronto FC 1-1 New York City FC
  • DNew England Revolution 1-1 New York City FC

Red Bull New York

  • WColumbus Crew 0-1 Red Bull New York
  • LLAFC 2-0 Red Bull New York
  • DSeattle Sounders FC 0-0 Red Bull New York
  • LRed Bull New York 1-3 Philadelphia Union
  • DRed Bull New York 1-1 Chicago Fire FC

Head to head

  • DRed Bull New York 1-1 New York City FC
  • WRed Bull New York 2-3 New York City FC

How this prediction was made

This is a statistical forecast, not a guarantee. It comes from a goals model fitted on 7,081 recent results across Europe's top leagues, weighting recent matches more heavily. Picks freeze at kick-off and are graded in our public track record. Read the full methodology.

More MLS predictions