Norwich City vs Birmingham City prediction
Wednesday 9 September 2026, 19:45, Carrow Road
Full time: 2-1
Our prediction
The model gives Norwich City a 45% chance of winning, 28% for a draw and 27% for Birmingham City. Expected goals: Norwich City 1.5, Birmingham City 1.1. Most likely score: 1-1.
NOR45%Draw28%BIR27%
Predictions by market
Match result (1X2)Home45%✓Fair odds 2.23Double chanceHome or draw73%✓Fair odds 1.37Over/Under 2.5 goalsUnder 2.553%✗Fair odds 1.87Over/Under 1.5 goalsOver 1.573%✓Fair odds 1.37Both teams to scoreYes52%✓Fair odds 1.94Correct score1-113%✗Fair odds 7.44Draw no betHome62%✓Fair odds 1.60Asian handicapAway +0.555%✗Fair odds 1.81Odd/Even goalsEven52%✗Fair odds 1.91First team to scoreHome52%✓Fair odds 1.91Win to nilHome25%✗Fair odds 4.00
Goals
| Over 1.5 goals | 73% |
|---|---|
| Over 2.5 goals | 47% |
| Over 3.5 goals | 25% |
| Both teams score | 52% |
Most likely scores
- 1-113.4%
- 1-010.5%
- 2-19.1%
- 0-08.9%
- 2-08.4%
Recent form
Norwich City
- WSheffield United 1-3 Norwich City
- LStoke City 1-0 Norwich City
- WNorwich City 4-1 Burnley
- LMillwall 3-0 Norwich City
- LNorwich City 1-2 West Bromwich Albion
Birmingham City
- DBirmingham City 2-2 Wolverhampton Wanderers
- DBirmingham City 1-1 Southampton
- WWrexham 1-2 Birmingham City
- DBirmingham City 2-2 Bristol City
- DSheffield United 0-0 Birmingham City
Head to head
- LNorwich City 1-2 Birmingham City
- LBirmingham City 4-1 Norwich City
How this prediction was made
This is a statistical forecast, not a guarantee. It comes from a goals model fitted on 7,122 recent results across Europe's top leagues, weighting recent matches more heavily. Picks freeze at kick-off and are graded in our public track record. Read the full methodology.