Norwich City vs Southampton prediction
Wednesday 14 October 2026, 19:45, Carrow Road
Full time: 0-1
Our prediction
The model gives Norwich City a 32% chance of winning, 24% for a draw and 44% for Southampton. Expected goals: Norwich City 1.5, Southampton 1.8. Most likely score: 1-1.
NOR32%Draw24%SOU44%
Predictions by market
Match result (1X2)Away44%✓Fair odds 2.25Double chanceEither team76%✓Fair odds 1.32Over/Under 2.5 goalsOver 2.566%✗Fair odds 1.52Over/Under 1.5 goalsOver 1.586%✗Fair odds 1.16Both teams to scoreYes67%✗Fair odds 1.50Correct score1-110%✗Fair odds 9.62Draw no betAway59%✓Fair odds 1.71Asian handicapHome +0.556%✗Fair odds 1.80Odd/Even goalsEven52%✗Fair odds 1.94First team to scoreAway52%✓Fair odds 1.91Win to nilAway17%✓Fair odds 5.76
Goals
| Over 1.5 goals | 86% |
|---|---|
| Over 2.5 goals | 66% |
| Over 3.5 goals | 44% |
| Both teams score | 67% |
Most likely scores
- 1-110.4%
- 1-28.9%
- 2-17.4%
- 2-26.8%
- 0-25.8%
Recent form
Norwich City
- LSwansea City 2-1 Norwich City
- LNorwich City 3-4 Bolton Wanderers
- LMiddlesbrough 4-3 Norwich City
- WNorwich City 2-1 Birmingham City
- WSheffield United 1-3 Norwich City
Southampton
- WSouthampton 1-0 Portsmouth
- LWrexham 2-1 Southampton
- WSouthampton 4-1 Bristol City
- WSouthampton 3-1 Swansea City
- DLincoln City 1-1 Southampton
Head to head
- LSouthampton 1-0 Norwich City
- WNorwich City 2-1 Southampton
How this prediction was made
This is a statistical forecast, not a guarantee. It comes from a goals model fitted on 7,122 recent results across Europe's top leagues, weighting recent matches more heavily. Picks freeze at kick-off and are graded in our public track record. Read the full methodology.